據油價網9月2日報道， 根據路透調查顯示，由于歐佩克繼續放松減產，8月份的石油產量高于7月份，需求復蘇也刺激產量增加。

據該調查稱，8月原油日產量增加95萬桶，至2,427萬桶。盡管伊拉克承諾在8月份將日產量再削減40萬桶，以彌補其以前未遵循OEPC+減產配額，但產量增加似乎仍在繼續。尼日利亞還承諾進一步減產，以彌補5月份以來的生產過剩。

當歐佩克+將創紀錄的每天970萬桶的減產延長一個月至7月底時，聯盟同意，該條約中的所有國家都應100%遵守其配額，而那些沒有遵守配額的國家則應通過在7月、8月和9月超額完成減產來補償不遵守的情況。

從8月開始，歐佩克+已將減產幅度降至770萬桶/天，其中歐佩克的13個成員國需要總削減486.8萬桶/天，不包括伊拉克和尼日利亞的補償性減產。

石油需求可能正在改善，從而幫助歐佩克堅守其配額，但就連歐佩克對今年的石油需求也不是特別樂觀。該組織在其最新月度石油市場報告中稱，預計今年石油日需求將減少910萬桶，較7月預估向上調10萬桶。歐佩克還估計，今年全球經濟可能下降多達4%，7月時的預估為3.7%。

根據路透調查數據顯示，自6月OPEC產量觸及1991年以來最低水平以來，產量已反彈200萬桶/日，其中包括沙特主動實施的100萬桶/日減產，以通過收緊供應加速油價反彈。迄今為止是歐佩克最大的生產國的沙特阿拉伯8月日產量為900萬桶，較7月增加60萬桶。

郝芬 譯自 油價網

原文如下：

OPEC Production Rises By 950,000 Bpd In August

OPEC produced more oil in August than it did in July as the cartel continued to relax its production cuts, a Reuters survey has revealed, with recovering demand also stimulating more production.

The August increase amounted to 950,000 bpd, the survey said, to a total of 24.27 million bpd. This appears to be despite Iraq’s pledge to cut an additional 400,000 bpd from its output in August to compensate for its undercompliance with the OEPC+ cuts. Nigeria had also pledged to effect additional production cuts to compensate for its overproduction since May.

When OPEC+ extended the record production cuts of 9.7 million bpd by one month through the end of July, the coalition agreed that all countries in the pact should comply 100 percent with their quotas, and those who have not, should be compensating for lack of compliance by overachieving in the cuts in July, August, and September.

Beginning in August, OPEC+ has reduced the cuts to 7.7 million bpd, of which OPEC’s 13 members need to cut a combined 4.868 million bpd, excluding Iraq’s and Nigeria’s compensatory cuts.

Demand for oil may be improving and thus helping the cartel stick to its quotas, but even OPEC is not particularly optimistic for oil demand this year. In its latest Monthly Oil Market Report the group said it expected oil demand loss this year to hit 9.1 million bpd, a 100,000-bpd upward revision on its July forecast. OPEC also estimated that the global economy could shrink by as much as 4 percent this year, a revision from 3.7 percent estimated in July.

Since June, when OPEC’s production hit the lowest since 1991, according to data surveyed by Reuters, output has rebounded by 2 million bpd, including 1 million bpd of production cuts that Saudi Arabia had implemented voluntarily to hasten the oil price rebound by tightening supply. In August, the Kingdom, which is OPEC’s largest producer by far, pumped 9 million bpd, up by 600,000 bpd from July.