據油氣新聞網站6月25日報道 歐佩克秘書長Mohammad Sanusi Barkindo表示,隨著各國進一步放松封鎖限制,需求上升,油氣市場復蘇可能在下半年加快步伐,他對最壞的情況已經過去表示謹慎樂觀。
參加在線Adipec Energy Dialogues的Barkindo表示,疫情爆發后,石油行業面臨著前所未有的巨大石油市場失衡,需要生產商做出反應。
Barkindo強調,歐佩克與非歐佩克產油國減產兩年期協議十分重要,他相信,下半年石油市場將恢復更多穩定,但仍需進一步努力降低現有石油庫存,幫助市場重新平衡。
Barkindo說:“隨著我們看到各國開始開放,我們將看到需求開始回升。我仍然樂觀但謹慎,最壞的情況已經過去,今年下半年經濟復蘇將如火如荼,股市開始退市。不過,無論是V型、W型還是倒曲棍球棍型,經濟復蘇將呈現何種形態仍不確定。”
“不過,我希望到今年年底,我們將開始看到石油市場進一步恢復穩定的跡象。那么,我們將能夠進入維持這種穩定的下一階段。因此,歐佩克+成員國集團和非歐佩克產油國簽署的具有歷史意義的協議必須持續兩年?!?/span>
Barkindo闡述了4月份石油市場遭受的前所未有的需求破壞的規模。由于應對疫情,全球經濟遭受重創,石油需求從每天1億桶的高位下降了2000-2400萬桶,這導致了有史以來最大規模的單一供應調整,歐佩克和非歐佩克產油國每天調整近2000萬桶的石油產量,包括來自DoC以外的產油國的產量。
王磊 摘譯自 油氣新聞
原文如下:
Oil recovery may gather pace in H2, says Opec chief
Oil and gas markets recovery is likely to gather pace in the second half of the year as countries further ease lockdown restrictions and demand rises, said Opec Secretary General Mohammad Sanusi Barkindo, expressing cautious optimism that the worst is over.
The huge and unprecedented oil market imbalance that faced the industry in April in the wake of Covid-19 pandemic required an unparalleled response from producers, said Barkindo, taking part in the online Adipec Energy Dialogues.
Underlining the importance of the two-year agreement, signed by Opec and non-Opec oil producing countries in the Declaration of Cooperation (DoC) on April 12, and revalidated earlier this month on June 6, Barkindo said he was confident that more stability would return to oil markets in the second half of the year, but more work is required to draw down existing oil inventories to help rebalance markets.
"As we see countries begin to open up, we will see demand start to come back," Barkindo said. "I remain optimistic but cautious the worst is over and a recovery will be in full swing in the second half of this year, with stocks beginning to be withdrawn. However, what shape the recovery will take, whether a V shape, W or inverted hockey stick, is still uncertain.
"Nevertheless, I am hopeful by the end of this year we will begin to see some further semblance of stability restored to oil markets. Then we will be in a position to move into the next phase of sustaining that stability. Hence the importance of the two-year duration of the historic agreement signed by the Opec Plus group of countries and non-Opec producers."
Setting out the scale of the "unprecedented demand destruction" suffered by oil markets in April, Barkindo said oil demand had fallen by 20 to 24 million barrels a day, from a high of 100 million barrels per day, as economic and societal lockdowns, in response to the Covid-19 coronavirus, ravaged the global economy. It led to the largest single supply adjustment in history with Opec and non-Opec producers adjusting oil output, including from those outside of the DoC, by almost 20 million barrels a day.