據今日油價網站5月20日消息 國際能源署(IEA)在一份新的報告中稱,可再生能源行業今年的增長率將下降,但明年將復蘇并開始再次增長。
IEA表示,今年將是20年來太陽能和風能新增產能首次出現下降,并指出,迄今為止,太陽能和風能行業已表現出對疫情帶來的影響的強大抵御能力。
即便如此,許多項目仍將推遲,導致今年太陽能和風能新增發電量較2019年減少13%。然而,2021年,新增可再生能源總量將恢復到2019年的水平,尤其是因為兩個大型水電項目將于2021年投產。
這意味著,太陽能和風能的新增發電量增長速度將低于IEA此前的預期,增幅將高達10%。
然而,這不應成為擔憂的理由,因為此前的預測總是樂觀的,依賴于政府對可再生能源的持續支持。所有的預測都無法預測疫情及其對世界的影響程度。
IEA負責人法蒂赫·比托爾說:“可再生能源電力對危機影響的恢復力是個好消息,但不能想當然。”
他補充說:“各國正在繼續建造新的風力渦輪機和太陽能發電廠,但速度要慢得多。甚至在疫情爆發之前,世界就需要大大加快可再生能源的部署,以便有機會實現其能源和氣候目標。在當今非同尋常的健康和經濟挑戰中,各國政府不能忽視加快清潔能源轉型的基本任務,以使我們能夠在安全和可持續的道路上擺脫危機。”
王磊 摘譯自 今日油價
原文如下:
IEA: The Renewable Energy Boom Will Restart In 2021
The renewable energy industry will see a decline in growth this year but will recover and start growing again next year, the International Energy Agency has said in a new report.
This year would be the first in two decades when new solar and wind power capacity additions will see a dip, the IEA said, noting that so far, the industry has demonstrated strong resilience to the consequences of the pandemic.
Even so, many projects will be delayed, leading to 13 percent fewer solar and wind power capacity additions this year, compared with 2019. In 2021, however, total new renewable energy additions will recover to 2019 levels, not least because of two large-scale hydropower projects set to come online in 2021.
This means that solar and wind will see slower growth for new additions than previously expected by the authority, and by as much as 10 percent.
However, this should not be cause for worry as previous forecasts were invariably upbeat, leaning on continued government support for renewable energy. None of the forecasts could anticipate the coronavirus pandemic and the extent of its impact on the world.
“The resilience of renewable electricity to the impacts of the Covid-19 crisis is good news but cannot be taken for granted,” the head of IEA, Fatih Bitol, said.
“Countries are continuing to build new wind turbines and solar plants, but at a much slower pace. Even before the Covid-19 pandemic struck, the world needed to significantly accelerate the deployment of renewables to have a chance of meeting its energy and climate goals. Amid today’s extraordinary health and economic challenges, governments must not lose sight of the essential task of stepping up clean energy transitions to enable us to emerge from the crisis on a secure and sustainable path,” he added.
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