據道瓊斯2016年12月31日消息,Morningstar表示,未來六個月,美國作業的鉆井平臺數量或將增加30%。雖然滯后了數個月,但是那些鉆井平臺或將增加石油產量。Morningstar表示,屆時歐佩克和其他石油出口國減產協議也將期滿,導致更多的石油流向市場。受此風險因素的影響,Morningstar維持2017年美國油價55美元/桶的預測。Ritterbusch & Associates董事長Jim Ritterbusch表示,一季度末,美國石油產量將重返900萬桶/天。
龐曉華摘譯自道瓊斯
原文如下:
Analysts Expect More US Oil Coming Soon
The number of working rigs in the US is likely to rise 30% within the next six months, Morningstar says. There is a lag of several months, but those rigs will likely increase oil production. That could put more oil onto the market just as a deal between OPEC and other exporters to cut production is set to expire, leading to more oil coming from all sources at once, Morningstar says. Citing that risk, Morningstar keeps its US oil-price forecast at $55 in 2017. US production will climb back to 9M barrels a day again by the end of the first quarter, says Jim Ritterbusch, president of Ritterbusch & Associates.
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